# Nick Shirley (nick-shirley) · interview 2026-04-17 · 12 words · K k:KXSHIRLEYMENTION-26APR17 · as_of 2026-10-24T08:55:39Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-17 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSHIRLEYMENTION-26APR17 ({word} = w of K rows): If Nick Shirley says {word} as part of NEWSMAX: Finnerty , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Learing	learing	3	3	1	YYY	0.63	hist	no
Minnesota / Minneapolis	minneapolis|minnesota	2	2	1	YY	0.56	hist	no
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.56	hist	no
Democrat	democrat	1	1	1	Y	0.47	hist	no
Taxpayer	taxpayer	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	yes
Billion	billion	3	0	0	nnn	0.25	hist	no
Trump	trump	3	0	0	nnn	0.25	hist	no
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Daycare / Day Care	day care|daycare	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Free Speech / Freedom of Speech	free speech|freedom of speech	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Hospice	hospice	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Newsom	newsom	0	0			0.41	prior	no