# White House press briefing (white-house-press-briefing) · briefing by 2025-03-31 (settled) · 25 words · K k:KXSECPRESSMENTION-25JUN30 · as_of 2026-10-27T03:46:37Z
# scope K role:press-secretary · n/y settled before 2025-03-31 · tn/th last 8 briefing transcripts 2025-02-12..2025-03-26 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSECPRESSMENTION-25JUN30 ({word} = w of K rows): If the White House Press Secretary says {word} at next, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	12	9	0.75	YYnnYYYYYY	8	7	0.7	hist	no
Goldberg	goldberg	2	2	1	YY	8	1	0.52	hist	no
Classified	classified	1	1	1	Y	8	2	0.52	hist	no
Hegseth	hegseth	1	1	1	Y	8	4	0.52	hist	no
Houthi	houthi	1	1	1	Y	8	2	0.52	hist	no
Signal	signal	1	1	1	Y	8	1	0.52	hist	no
DOGE / Department of Government Efficiency	department of government efficiency|doge	8	4	0.5	nYYnnYnY	8	4	0.49	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	3	2	0.67	YYn	8	6	0.48	hist	yes
Tesla	tesla	2	1	0.5	Yn	8	2	0.41	hist	no
Bitcoin	bitcoin	0	0			8	0	0.4	hist	no
Crypto / Cryptocurrency	crypto|cryptocurrency	0	0			8	1	0.32	hist	no
Columbia	columbia	0	0			8	1	0.31	hist	no
China	china	6	1	0.17	Ynnnnn	8	1	0.3	hist	no
Canada	canada	1	0	0	n	8	3	0.38	prior	yes
Egypt	egypt	1	0	0	n	8	0	0.38	prior	no
Mexico	mexico	1	0	0	n	8	4	0.38	prior	no
Automobile / Automotive	automobile|automotive	0	0			8	1	0.38	prior	no
Baseball	baseball	0	0			8	0	0.38	prior	no
Cabinet	cabinet	0	0			8	6	0.38	prior	yes
Car	car	0	0			8	2	0.38	prior	no
Health and Human Services / HHS	health and human service|hhs	0	0			8	0	0.38	prior	no
Hoax	hoax	0	0			8	1	0.38	prior	no
Homeland Security / DHS	dhs|homeland security	0	0			8	6	0.38	prior	yes
ICE	ice	0	0			8	5	0.38	prior	no
Tufts	tuft	0	0			8	0	0.38	prior	no