# White House press briefing (white-house-press-briefing) · briefing by 2025-12-22 (settled) · 18 words · K k:KXSECPRESSMENTION-25DEC31 · as_of 2026-10-27T03:46:37Z
# scope K role:press-secretary · n/y settled before 2025-12-22 · tn/th last 8 briefing transcripts 2025-10-03..2025-12-11 · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist, res no · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSECPRESSMENTION-25DEC31 ({word} = w of K rows): If the White House Press Secretary says {word} at the next White House press briefing, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p
Inflation	inflation	16	10	0.62	YYnYnnnYYY	8	4	0.55
China	china	33	18	0.55	YnnnYYYnnY	8	4	0.51
Gaza	gaza	15	7	0.47	nnnnYYYYnY	8	4	0.51
Paper Straw	paper straw	1	1	1	Y	8	0	0.47
Elon/Musk	elon|musk	19	10	0.53	YYYnnnnnnY	8	0	0.45
America First	america first	10	4	0.4	nYYnnYYnnn	8	1	0.45
AI/Artificial intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	22	7	0.32	YnYnYnnYYn	8	0	0.45
Israel	israel	28	18	0.64	YYYYnnnYnn	8	3	0.42
Tulsi/Gabbard	gabbard|tulsi	6	2	0.33	nnYYnn	8	0	0.42
Super Bowl	super bowl	1	0	0	n	8	1	0.39
Egg	egg	12	3	0.25	nYYnYnnnnn	8	0	0.38
DOGE/Department of Government Efficiency	department of government efficiency|doge	11	4	0.36	YYnnYnYnnn	8	0	0.37
Cryptocurrency/Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto|cryptocurrency	6	2	0.33	nYYnnn	8	2	0.37
Golden Age	golden age	3	0	0	nnn	8	0	0.36
Eric Adams	eric adam	2	0	0	nn	8	0	0.36
Greenland	greenland	8	0	0	nnnnnnnn	8	0	0.34
TikTok	tiktok	9	1	0.11	nnnnYnnnn	8	0	0.32
Woke	woke	5	0	0	nnnnn	8	0	0.3