# US Supreme Court (us-supreme-court) · hearing 2026-03-25 · 15 words · K k:KXSCOTUSMENTION-26MAR25 · as_of 2026-10-25T06:14:16Z
# scope K any_justice · n/y settled before 2026-03-25 · tn/th blank: no hearing transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSCOTUSMENTION-26MAR25 ({word} = w of K rows): If any Supreme Court Justice says {word} as part of Oral Arguments of NOEM, SEC. OF HOMELAND SECURITY V. AL OTRO LADO, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	1	1	1	Y	0.62	hist	yes
National Security	national security	1	1	1	Y	0.58	hist	no
Trump	trump	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	no
Biden	biden	0	0			0.51	prior	no
Birthright	birthright	0	0			0.51	prior	no
Border Patrol	border patrol	0	0			0.51	prior	no
Capacity	capacity	0	0			0.51	prior	no
Checkpoint	checkpoint	0	0			0.51	prior	no
Child / Children	child|children	0	0			0.51	prior	no
Deport / Deportation	deport|deportation	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Due Process	due process	0	0			0.51	prior	no
Haitian Centers	haitian center	0	0			0.51	prior	no
Prison / Jail	jail|prison	0	0			0.51	prior	no
Refugee	refugee	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Sanctuary	sanctuary	0	0			0.51	prior	no