# US Supreme Court (us-supreme-court) · hearing 2026-04-01 · 14 words · K k:KXSCOTUSMENTION-26APR01 · as_of 2026-10-26T12:05:48Z
# scope K any_justice · n/y settled before 2026-04-01 · tn/th blank: no hearing transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSCOTUSMENTION-26APR01 ({word} = w of K rows): If any Supreme Court Justice says {word} as part of Oral Arguments of TRUMP, PRESIDENT OF UNITED STATES V. BARBARA, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Deport / Deportation	deport|deportation	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist	no
Constitution / Constitutional	constitution|constitutional	0	0			0.49	hist	yes
China	china	1	1	1	Y	0.48	hist	yes
Amicus	amicus	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Hospital	hospital	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Maternity	maternity	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Precedent	precedent	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Slaughter	slaughter	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Stateless	stateless	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Tourist / Tourism	tourism|tourist	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Wong Kim	wong kim	0	0			0.39	prior	yes