# Chuck Schumer (chuck-schumer) · keynote 2026-05-19 · 13 words · K k:KXSCHUMERMENTION-26MAY19 · as_of 2026-10-24T18:45:03Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-19 · tn/th blank: no keynote transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSCHUMERMENTION-26MAY19 ({word} = w of K rows): If Chuck Schumer says {word} as part of 2026 CAP IDEAS Conference , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	1	1	1	Y	0.47	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	1	0	0	n	0.34	hist	no
Ballroom	ballroom	1	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Bipartisan	bipartisan	1	0	0			0.39	prior	no
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Election	election	1	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	1	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Hormuz	hormuz	1	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Republican	republican	1	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Taxpayer	taxpayer	1	0	0			0.39	prior	no