# Marco Rubio (marco-rubio) · hearing 2026-06-03 · 19 words · K k:KXRUBIOMENTION-26JUN03 · as_of 2026-10-24T20:51:55Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-06-03 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-05-05 (under 2 hearing transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXRUBIOMENTION-26JUN03 ({word} = w of K rows): If Marco Rubio says {word} as part of House Committee on Foreign Affairs - Department of State FY 2027 Budget Request , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	5	5	1	YYYYY	1	1	0.77	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	1	5	5	1	YYYYY	1	1	0.76	hist	yes
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation	negotiate|negotiated|negotiation	1	4	4	1	YYYY	1	1	0.74	hist	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	3	3	1	YYY	1	1	0.71	hist	yes
Board of Peace	board of peace	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	0	0.67	hist	yes
Cuba / Cuban	cuba|cuban	1	5	4	0.8	YYnYY	1	1	0.66	hist	yes
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	1	0	0			1	1	0.64	hist	yes
NATO	nato	1	6	4	0.67	YnYnYY	1	0	0.6	hist	yes
Ukraine	ukraine	1	3	2	0.67	nYY	1	1	0.58	hist	yes
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	6	3	0.5	nYnnYY	1	1	0.52	hist	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	6	3	0.5	nYnnYY	1	1	0.52	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	4	2	0.5	nnYY	1	1	0.52	hist	yes
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	1	0	0.44	hist	no
Climate	climate	1	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.44	hist	no
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	1	4	0	0	nnnn	1	0	0.34	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	5	0	0	nnnnn	1	0	0.31	hist	no
Democrat	democrat	1	6	0	0	nnnnnn	1	0	0.28	hist	no
Fraud	fraud	1	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.58	prior	no
UN / United Nation	un|united nation	1	0	0			1	1	0.58	prior	yes