# Marco Rubio (marco-rubio) · hearing 2026-06-02 · 19 words · K k:KXRUBIOMENTION-26JUN02 · as_of 2026-10-24T19:57:08Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-06-02 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-05-05 (under 2 hearing transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXRUBIOMENTION-26JUN02 ({word} = w of K rows): If Marco Rubio says {word} as part of Senate Foreign Relations Committee State Department Budget Hearing , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	3	3	1	YYY	1	1	0.7	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	1	3	3	1	YYY	1	1	0.69	hist	yes
Hormuz	hormuz	1	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.65	hist	yes
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation	negotiate|negotiated|negotiation	1	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.65	hist	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.6	hist	yes
Cuba / Cuban	cuba|cuban	1	3	2	0.67	YYn	1	1	0.56	hist	yes
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	0	0.51	hist	no
NATO	nato	1	4	2	0.5	YnYn	1	0	0.5	hist	yes
Ukraine	ukraine	1	1	0	0	n	1	1	0.44	hist	yes
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	4	1	0.25	nYnn	1	1	0.4	hist	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	4	1	0.25	nYnn	1	1	0.4	hist	yes
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	1	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.37	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	2	0	0	nn	1	1	0.37	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	3	0	0	nnn	1	0	0.33	hist	no
Democrat	democrat	1	4	0	0	nnnn	1	0	0.29	hist	no
Board of Peace	board of peace	1	0	0			1	0	0.53	prior	yes
Climate	climate	1	0	0			1	0	0.53	prior	no
Embassy	embassy	1	0	0			1	0	0.53	prior	yes
Palestine / Gaza 	gaza|palestine	1	0	0			1	0	0.53	prior	yes