# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-03-17 · 26 words · K k:KXPRESMENTION-DJT26MAR17 · as_of 2026-10-24T20:20:03Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-17 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPRESMENTION-DJT26MAR17 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Bilateral Meetings on March 17th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Save Act / Save America Act	save act|save america act	9	7	0.78	YYnYYYYnY	1	0	0.68	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	142	96	0.68	YnYYnYYYnY	1	1	0.65	hist	yes
Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline	11	8	0.73	YYnYYYYYnY	1	1	0.62	hist	yes
Democrat	democrat	103	71	0.69	YYnYYnYYYY	1	1	0.61	hist	no
Biden	biden	204	142	0.7	nYYYnnYYYY	1	1	0.56	hist	yes
Border	border	101	63	0.62	nYnYYnYYYY	1	1	0.56	hist	no
Iran	iran	73	48	0.66	YYYnYYYYYY	1	1	0.55	hist	yes
Fake News	fake new	73	40	0.55	YnYYYnnYYn	1	1	0.55	hist	yes
Bobby / Kennedy	bobby|kennedy	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.54	hist	no
Nuclear	nuclear	118	77	0.65	YYYYYYYYYY	1	1	0.53	hist	yes
Golf / Golfing	golf|golfing	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.52	hist	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	9	6	0.67	nYYnYnYYY	1	1	0.52	hist	yes
Windmill	windmill	23	14	0.61	YYnnnYYYYY	1	1	0.52	hist	yes
Hottest	hottest	170	92	0.54	nYnYnYnnYn	1	1	0.49	hist	no
Oil	oil	46	21	0.46	YYYYYYnnYY	1	1	0.47	hist	yes
Epic Fury	epic fury	14	6	0.43	YYYYYnnnnn	1	0	0.44	hist	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	10	3	0.3	YYnnYnnnnn	1	1	0.37	hist	no
Keir / Starmer	keir|starmer	2	0	0	nn	1	1	0.37	hist	yes
Hormuz	hormuz	11	3	0.27	nnnnYnnnYY	1	0	0.31	hist	no
Cuba	cuba	9	3	0.33	YnnnnYnnY	1	0	0.29	hist	yes
National Security	national security	13	3	0.23	nYnnYnYnnn	1	1	0.27	hist	no
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	7	0	0	nnnnnnn	1	1	0.22	hist	yes
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	308	30	0.1	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.04	hist	no
Excursion	excursion	0	0			1	0	0.41	prior	no
Saint Patrick Day / Saint Patrick's Day	saint patrick day|saint patrick's day	0	0			1	0	0.41	prior	no
Shamrock	shamrock	0	0			1	0	0.41	prior	no