# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · presser 2026-03-16 · 25 words · K k:KXPRESMENTION-DJT26MAR16B · as_of 2026-10-24T09:01:26Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-16 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 presser transcripts) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPRESMENTION-DJT26MAR16B ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of News Conference on March 16th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
Biden	biden	202	140	0.69	YnnYYYnnYY	1	1	0.66	yes
Iran	iran	71	46	0.65	YYYYYnYYYY	1	1	0.65	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	117	76	0.65	YYYYYYYYYY	1	1	0.63	yes
SAVE Act / Save America Act	save act|save america act	7	6	0.86	YYnYYYY	1	0	0.61	no
Trillion	trillion	80	55	0.69	YnYYnnnnYn	1	1	0.59	no
China	china	126	81	0.64	nnYYYnYYnY	1	1	0.57	yes
Oil	oil	44	19	0.43	YYYYYYYYnn	1	1	0.52	yes
Epic Fury	epic fury	12	6	0.5	nnYYYYYnnn	1	0	0.51	no
Tariff	tariff	140	95	0.68	YYYnYYnYYY	1	1	0.5	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	7	4	0.57	nYYnYnY	1	1	0.5	yes
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	12	6	0.5	YnnnYnnYYY	1	1	0.5	yes
Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration	obliterate|obliterated|obliteration	8	4	0.5	nYnYnnYY	1	1	0.5	yes
Fake News	fake new	71	39	0.55	YnYnYYYnnY	1	1	0.46	yes
Radical Left	radical left	54	25	0.46	YYYnYYnYYn	1	1	0.46	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	112	48	0.43	YYYnnnnnnY	1	1	0.45	yes
Drone	drone	33	5	0.15	nnnYnnnnYY	1	0	0.36	yes
Khamenei	khamenei	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.36	no
Board of Peace	board of peace	5	2	0.4	YYnnn	1	1	0.35	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	8	3	0.38	YYnnYnnn	1	1	0.34	no
Pipeline	pipeline	12	4	0.33	nYYnnnYnnn	1	1	0.34	no
Hormuz	hormuz	9	1	0.11	nnnnnYnnn	1	0	0.32	yes
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.3	no
America First	america first	31	11	0.35	YYnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.27	no
Bibi / Netanyahu	bibi|netanyahu	18	4	0.22	YnnnYnnnnY	1	0	0.24	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	306	30	0.1	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.15	no