# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-03-16 · 25 words · K k:KXPRESMENTION-DJT26MAR16 · as_of 2026-10-24T05:46:30Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-16 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPRESMENTION-DJT26MAR16 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Signing Time, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
Save Act / Save America Act	save act|save america act	7	6	0.86	YYnYYYY	1	0	0.66	yes
Tariff	tariff	140	95	0.68	YYYnYYnYYY	1	1	0.64	yes
Democrat	democrat	102	70	0.69	nYYnYYnYYY	1	1	0.6	yes
Fake News	fake new	71	39	0.55	YnYnYYYnnY	1	1	0.59	no
Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline	10	7	0.7	nYYnYYYYYn	1	1	0.58	yes
Biden	biden	202	140	0.69	YnnYYYnnYY	1	1	0.56	yes
Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration	obliterate|obliterated|obliteration	8	4	0.5	nYnYnnYY	1	1	0.56	yes
China	china	126	81	0.64	nnYYYnYYnY	1	1	0.54	yes
Iran	iran	71	46	0.65	YYYYYnYYYY	1	1	0.53	yes
Epic Fury	epic fury	12	6	0.5	nnYYYYYnnn	1	0	0.52	no
Hottest	hottest	169	92	0.54	nnYnYnYnnY	1	1	0.5	no
Marco / Rubio	marco|rubio	13	7	0.54	nnYYnYYnYY	1	0	0.46	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	7	4	0.57	nYYnYnY	1	1	0.44	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	112	48	0.43	YYYnnnnnnY	1	1	0.44	no
Oil	oil	44	19	0.43	YYYYYYYYnn	1	1	0.43	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	8	3	0.38	YYnnYnnn	1	1	0.42	no
Sanctuary	sanctuary	2	0	0	nn	1	1	0.41	no
Minnesota / Minneapolis	minneapolis|minnesota	2	1	0.5	nY	1	1	0.4	yes
California	california	7	3	0.43	YnnnnYY	1	1	0.4	yes
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	33	16	0.48	YnYYnYnYYn	1	1	0.36	yes
Fraud	fraud	16	6	0.38	YnnnnnnnYY	1	0	0.33	yes
National Security	national security	12	3	0.25	nnYnnYnYnn	1	1	0.31	no
Hormuz	hormuz	9	1	0.11	nnnnnYnnn	1	0	0.21	yes
Epstein	epstein	95	22	0.23	YnnnYnnYnn	1	0	0.17	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	306	30	0.1	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.05	no