# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · tv_episode 2026-03-13 · 19 words · K k:KXPRESMENTION-DJT26MAR13B · as_of 2026-10-25T08:38:27Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-13 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 tv episode transcripts) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPRESMENTION-DJT26MAR13B ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of The Brian Kilmeade Show, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
Democrat	democrat	101	69	0.68	YnYYnYYnYY	1	1	0.65	yes
Biden	biden	200	138	0.69	nYYnnYYYnn	1	1	0.63	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	115	74	0.64	YYYYYYYYYY	1	1	0.59	yes
Iran	iran	69	44	0.64	YYYYYYYnYY	1	1	0.59	yes
Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline	9	7	0.78	nYYnYYYYY	1	1	0.56	no
Fake News	fake new	67	37	0.55	YYnnYnYnYY	1	1	0.51	no
Oil	oil	43	19	0.44	nYYYYYYYYn	1	1	0.5	no
Eight War	eight war	62	35	0.56	YYYnnYnYnn	1	1	0.46	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	110	47	0.43	nnYYYnnnnn	1	1	0.45	no
Hottest	hottest	166	90	0.54	nnYnnYnnYn	1	1	0.44	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	6	3	0.5	YYnnYn	1	1	0.41	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	6	3	0.5	nYYnYn	1	1	0.41	yes
Khamenei / Son	khamenei|son	2	1	0.5	nY	1	1	0.38	no
National Security	national security	11	3	0.27	nnnYnnYnYn	1	1	0.36	no
America First	america first	29	11	0.38	nYYYnnnnnn	1	0	0.32	no
Highest Inflation	highest inflation	13	4	0.31	YnnnnnnnYn	1	1	0.3	no
Epstein	epstein	91	20	0.22	nnnnYnnnnn	1	0	0.26	no
Hormuz	hormuz	8	1	0.12	nnnnnYnn	1	0	0.25	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	302	30	0.1	YYnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.15	no