# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-03-11 · 25 words · K k:KXPRESMENTION-DJT26MAR12 · as_of 2026-10-24T12:49:04Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-11 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPRESMENTION-DJT26MAR12 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Site Visit at Thermo Fisher Scientific, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
Trillion	trillion	79	55	0.7	YYnYYnnnnY	1	1	0.67	no
Tariff	tariff	137	92	0.67	nnnYYYnYYn	1	1	0.62	yes
Big Beautiful Bill	big beautiful bill	36	24	0.67	YYYnnnYnYY	1	1	0.61	no
Democrat	democrat	98	67	0.68	YYYYnYYnYY	1	1	0.59	no
Manufacture / Manufacturing	manufacture|manufacturing	3	3	1	YYY	1	0	0.57	no
Biden	biden	198	138	0.7	nYnYYnnYYY	1	1	0.57	no
China	china	124	80	0.65	YYnnYYYnYY	1	1	0.54	no
Election	election	72	43	0.6	nYnYYYnYYn	1	1	0.54	no
Favored Nation	favored nation	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.52	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	3	2	0.67	YYn	1	1	0.52	no
Iran	iran	66	42	0.64	nYYYYYYYYY	1	1	0.51	no
Investment / Invested	invested|investment	23	13	0.57	YYYnYnYnYn	1	1	0.51	no
Healthcare	healthcare	21	12	0.57	nnnYYYYnnY	1	1	0.51	no
Hottest	hottest	163	89	0.55	YYnnnYnnYn	1	1	0.51	no
Stock Market	stock market	47	26	0.55	nYnnYYnYnn	1	1	0.51	no
GLP-1 / Ozempic	glp 1|ozempic	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.5	no
TrumpRx	trumprx	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.47	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	3	2	0.67	nYY	1	1	0.47	no
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation	negotiate|negotiated|negotiation	4	3	0.75	YnYY	1	0	0.46	no
Insurance	insurance	3	2	0.67	YYn	1	1	0.45	no
Oil	oil	39	16	0.41	nnYnnYYYYY	1	1	0.38	yes
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	40	13	0.33	nYnnnnYnnn	1	1	0.33	no
America First	america first	27	11	0.41	nYnYYYnnnn	1	0	0.31	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	71	24	0.34	nnnnnnnYYY	1	1	0.3	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	299	30	0.1	nnYYYnnnnn	1	0	0.05	no