# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · presser 2026-03-09 · 45 words · K k:KXPRESMENTION-DJT26MAR10 · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-press-conference-on-march-9 · as_of 2026-10-25T06:49:27Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-03-09 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 presser transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPRESMENTION-DJT26MAR10 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of News Conference on March 9th, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-press-conference-on-march-9 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the press conference scheduled for March 9, 2026.
# rows 1-33 of 45 by p · more: offset=33 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Democrat	democrat	1	K	96	65	0.68	nYYYYYnYYn	1	1	0.65	hist	yes
Biden	biden	1	KP	196	136	0.69	YYnYnYYnnY	1	1	0.63	hist	yes
Iran	iran	1	K	64	40	0.62	nnnYYYYYYY	1	1	0.59	hist	yes
Energy	energy	1	P	30	21	0.7	nnYYYYYnYY	1	1	0.56	hist	yes
China	china	1	P	122	78	0.64	YYYYnnYYYn	1	1	0.56	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	K	135	91	0.67	nYnnnYYYnY	1	1	0.54	hist	no
Eight war / Eighth war	eight war|eighth war	1	P	6	5	0.83	YYYYYn	1	1	0.53	hist	no
Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline	1	P	6	4	0.67	nYYnYY	1	1	0.51	hist	yes
Marco / Rubio	marco|rubio	1	K	12	6	0.5	nnnYYnYYnY	1	0	0.51	hist	yes
Fake News	fake new	1	K	63	34	0.54	nnYYYYnnYn	1	1	0.49	hist	no
Nuclear 3+ times	nuclear#3	3	P	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.47	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	P	107	47	0.44	YYYnnYYYnn	1	1	0.47	hist	no
Barrel	barrel	1	P	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.46	hist	yes
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	1	P	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.46	hist	yes
Hottest	hottest	1	K	161	88	0.55	nYYYnnnYnn	1	1	0.46	hist	no
Jesus	jesus	1	P	7	3	0.43	nnYnYnY	1	0	0.46	hist	no
Iran 5+ times	iran#5	5	P	0	0			1	1	0.45	hist	yes
Middle East	middle east	1	P	29	14	0.48	nnYYYnYnnn	1	0	0.44	hist	yes
Australia / Australian	australia|australian	1	P	0	0			1	1	0.44	hist	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	K	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.43	hist	no
SAVE Act / Save America Act	save act|save america act	1	K	3	2	0.67	YYn	1	0	0.43	hist	yes
Oil	oil	1	K	37	14	0.38	nYnnYnnYYY	1	1	0.42	hist	yes
Epic Fury	epic fury	1	KP	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	1	0	0.42	hist	yes
Hamas / Hezbollah	hama|hezbollah	1	K	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.4	hist	no
Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration	obliterate|obliterated|obliteration	1	K	5	2	0.4	nYnYn	1	1	0.39	hist	yes
Oil 5+ times	oil#5	5	P	1	0	0	n	1	1	0.39	hist	yes
America First	america first	1	K	25	11	0.44	nnnYnYYYnn	1	0	0.38	hist	no
Inflation	inflation	1	K	46	19	0.41	nnnYYYYnnn	1	1	0.38	hist	no
Six Seven	six seven	1	P	7	2	0.29	nYYnnnn	1	0	0.37	hist	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	P	27	6	0.22	nnnnnnnYYn	1	0	0.36	hist	no
Kurd / Kurdish	kurd|kurdish	1	KP	1	0	0	n	1	1	0.35	hist	no
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	1	K	9	3	0.33	nYYnnnYnn	1	1	0.33	hist	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	K	1	0	0	n	1	1	0.33	hist	yes