# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · interview by 2026-03-13 (settled) · 22 words · K k:KXPRESMENTION-DJT26APR30 · as_of 2026-10-24T10:47:35Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-13 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 interview transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPRESMENTION-DJT26APR30 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Jake Paul interview, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Iran	iran	69	44	0.64	YYYYYYYnYY	1	1	0.69	hist	yes
Biden	biden	200	138	0.69	nYYnnYYYnn	1	1	0.6	hist	yes
Election	election	74	44	0.59	nYYYnYYnnY	1	1	0.56	hist	yes
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	46	31	0.67	YYYYYnnYnn	1	1	0.53	hist	yes
Fake News	fake new	67	37	0.55	YYnnYnYnYY	1	1	0.52	hist	no
Transgender	transgender	79	44	0.56	nYYYYnnYYY	1	1	0.5	hist	no
Olympic / Olympics	olympic	34	19	0.56	YnnYnYYYYY	1	0	0.48	hist	yes
Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement	endorse|endorsed|endorsement	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.47	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	166	90	0.54	nnYnnYnnYn	1	1	0.45	hist	yes
Dana	dana	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.41	hist	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	6	3	0.5	YYnnYn	1	1	0.41	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	110	47	0.43	nnYYYnnnnn	1	1	0.41	hist	yes
UFC	ufc	14	6	0.43	nnYYYYnnnn	1	0	0.35	hist	yes
America First	america first	29	11	0.38	nYYYnnnnnn	1	0	0.33	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	91	20	0.22	nnnnYnnnnn	1	0	0.3	hist	no
TikTok	tiktok	49	10	0.2	nnnnYnYnnn	1	0	0.29	hist	yes
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	41	13	0.32	YnnnnYnnnn	1	1	0.24	hist	no
Mog / Mogged / Mogging	mog|mogged|mogging	10	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.21	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	302	30	0.1	YYnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.1	hist	no
Jutta / Leerdam	jutta|leerdam	0	0			1	0	0.41	prior	no
Logan	logan	0	0			1	0	0.41	prior	no
Tyson	tyson	0	0			1	0	0.41	prior	yes