# Jerome Powell (jerome-powell) · panel 2025-12-02 · 24 words · K k:KXPOWELLMENTION-25DEC02 · as_of 2026-10-24T14:16:44Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-12-02 · tn/th last 8 transcripts of any kind 2024-12-18..2025-10-29 (under 2 panel transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPOWELLMENTION-25DEC02 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jerome Powell says {word} as part of Brief Remarks and Panel Discussion with Michael Boskin and Condoleezza Rice on George Shultz and his Economic Policy Contributions, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Tariff	tariff	3	3	1	YYY	8	8	0.54	hist	no
Layoff	layoff	1	1	1	Y	8	7	0.45	hist	no
Pardon	pardon	3	2	0.67	YYn	8	2	0.45	hist	no
Recession	recession	6	3	0.5	YnYYnn	8	3	0.39	hist	no
Economy	economy	2	1	0.5	Yn	8	8	0.37	hist	yes
Gold	gold	3	1	0.33	nYn	8	1	0.35	hist	no
Inflation	inflation	3	1	0.33	Ynn	8	8	0.32	hist	yes
Cut	cut	1	0	0	n	8	8	0.29	hist	no
Mortgage	mortgage	1	0	0	n	8	4	0.29	hist	no
Rate	rate	1	0	0	n	8	8	0.29	hist	yes
Trillion	trillion	1	0	0	n	8	4	0.29	hist	no
Balance Sheet	balance sheet	2	0	0	nn	8	7	0.26	hist	no
Soft Landing	soft landing	2	0	0	nn	8	0	0.26	hist	no
Administration	administration	2	0	0	nn	8	5	0.25	hist	yes
Good Afternoon	good afternoon	7	1	0.14	nYnnnnn	8	8	0.23	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	6	0	0	nnnnnn	8	2	0.18	hist	no
Trump	trump	8	0	0	nnnnnnnn	8	1	0.16	hist	no
Careful	careful	0	0			8	6	0.35	prior	no
Productivity	productivity	0	0			8	5	0.35	prior	no
Race / Racism	race|racism	0	0			8	0	0.35	prior	no
Reagan	reagan	0	0			8	0	0.35	prior	yes
Theranos	therano	0	0			8	0	0.35	prior	no
Volcker	volcker	0	0			8	0	0.35	prior	yes
World War	world war	0	0			8	0	0.35	prior	no