# Jerome Powell (jerome-powell) · speech 2025-08-24 · 36 words · K k:KXPOWELLMENTION-25AUG24 · as_of 2026-10-24T14:05:38Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-08-24 · tn/th last 8 transcripts of any kind 2024-09-18..2025-07-30 (under 2 speech transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPOWELLMENTION-25AUG24 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jerome Powell says {word} as part of Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium entitled "Labor Markets in Transition: Demographics, Productivity, and Macroeconomic Policy", then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Tariff	tariff	1	2	2	1	YY	8	6	0.66	hist	yes
Dollar	dollar	1	1	1	1	Y	8	3	0.62	hist	no
Chair	chair	1	1	1	1	Y	8	3	0.51	hist	yes
Pandemic	pandemic	1	1	1	1	Y	8	8	0.51	hist	yes
Good afternoon	good afternoon	1	2	1	0.5	nY	8	8	0.44	hist	no
Energy	energy	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	8	8	0.42	hist	yes
Good morning	good morning	1	3	1	0.33	nYn	8	0	0.38	hist	no
Climate	climate	1	1	0	0	n	8	1	0.35	hist	no
Dot plot	dot plot	1	1	0	0	n	8	0	0.35	hist	no
Median	median	1	1	0	0	n	8	4	0.35	hist	no
Transitory	transitory	1	1	0	0	n	8	2	0.35	hist	no
Russia	russia	1	1	0	0	n	8	0	0.34	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	3	0	0	nnn	8	2	0.27	hist	no
Trump	trump	1	3	0	0	nnn	8	1	0.27	hist	no
Administration	administration	1	0	0			8	5	0.41	prior	no
Anchor	anchor	1	0	0			8	0	0.41	prior	no
Balance of risks	balance of risk	1	0	0			8	8	0.41	prior	yes
Christopher / Waller	christopher|waller	1	0	0			8	0	0.41	prior	no
Consumer confidence	consumer confidence	1	0	0			8	0	0.41	prior	no
Credit	credit	1	0	0			8	2	0.41	prior	no
Cut	cut	1	0	0			8	8	0.41	prior	no
Dissent	dissent	1	0	0			8	2	0.41	prior	no
Dual	dual	1	0	0			8	8	0.41	prior	yes
Labor (30+ times)	labor#30	30	0	0			8	2	0.41	prior	no
Labor (40+ times)	labor#40	40	0	0			8	0	0.41	prior	no
Layoff	layoff	1	0	0			8	6	0.41	prior	yes
Meeting	meeting	1	0	0			8	8	0.41	prior	yes
Michelle / Bowman	bowman|michelle	1	0	0			8	0	0.41	prior	no
Overheat	overheat	1	0	0			8	0	0.41	prior	no
Political	political	1	0	0			8	4	0.41	prior	no
Projection	projection	1	0	0			8	5	0.41	prior	no
Regulator/ regulatory / regulation	regulation|regulator|regulatory	1	0	0			8	4	0.41	prior	yes
Renovation	renovation	1	0	0			8	0	0.41	prior	no
Soft landing	soft landing	1	0	0			8	0	0.41	prior	no
Symposium	symposium	1	0	0			8	0	0.41	prior	yes
Tariff (10+ times)	tariff#10	10	0	0			8	4	0.41	prior	no