# Mark Rutte (mark-rutte) · presser 2026-05-22 · 11 words · K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26MAY22B · as_of 2026-10-24T07:28:48Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-22 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26MAY22B ({word} = w of K rows): If Mark Rutte says {word} as part of NATO Press Conference , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Nuclear	nuclear	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.63	yes
Ukraine	ukraine	1	1	1	Y	0.59	yes
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	0	0			0.58	yes
Arctic	arctic	1	1	1	Y	0.52	yes
Greenland	greenland	1	1	1	Y	0.52	no
Hormuz	hormuz	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.39	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.39	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.35	no
Trump	trump	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.33	no
Oil	oil	2	0	0	nn	0.29	no
Tariff	tariff	2	0	0	nn	0.29	no