# Wes Moore (wes-moore) · keynote 2026-05-19 · 12 words · K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26MAY19C · as_of 2026-10-23T23:25:41Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-19 · tn/th blank: no keynote transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26MAY19C ({word} = w of K rows): If Wes Moore says {word} as part of 2026 CAP IDEAS Conference , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	2	2	1	YY	0.63	hist	no
Redistrict / Redistricting / Redistricted	redistrict|redistricted|redistricting	2	2	1	YY	0.62	hist	no
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	1	1	1	Y	0.58	hist	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	1	1	Y	0.58	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	1	1	Y	0.58	hist	no
Republican	republican	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.53	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	0	0	n	0.42	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	1	0	0	n	0.42	hist	no
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	2	0	0	nn	0.36	hist	no
Data Center	data center	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Election	election	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Grocery	grocery	0	0			0.49	prior	no