# Thomas Massie (thomas-massie) · tv_episode 2026-05-05 · 11 words · K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26MAY05 · as_of 2026-10-24T21:11:44Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-05 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K, res yes · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26MAY05 ({word} = w of K rows): If Thomas Massie says {word} as part of The Tucker Carlson Show , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src
Constitutional / Constitution	constitution|constitutional	1	1	1	1	Y	0.56	hist
Democrat	democrat	1	1	1	1	Y	0.56	hist
Epstein	epstein	1	1	0	0	n	0.38	hist
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	1	0	0			0.46	prior
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	0	0			0.46	prior
Election	election	1	0	0			0.46	prior
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	0	0			0.46	prior
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	0	0			0.46	prior
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	1	0	0			0.46	prior
Ro / Khanna	khanna|ro	1	0	0			0.46	prior
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	0	0			0.46	prior