# Kristi Noem (kristi-noem) · presser 2026-03-05 · 14 words · K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26MAR08 · as_of 2026-10-24T16:30:07Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-05 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-18 (under 2 presser transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26MAR08 ({word} = w of K rows): If Kristi Noem says {word} as part of Press Conference on March 5th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Democrat	democrat	1	3	3	1	YYY	1	1	0.72	hist	yes
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	1	3	3	1	YYY	1	1	0.72	hist	yes
Deport / Deportation	deport|deportation	1	2	2	1	YY	1	0	0.67	hist	no
Election	election	1	2	2	1	YY	1	0	0.67	hist	no
Traffic / Trafficking	traffic|trafficking	1	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.63	hist	yes
Biden	biden	1	4	3	0.75	YnYY	1	1	0.61	hist	no
Fraud	fraud	1	3	2	0.67	nYY	1	1	0.56	hist	no
Mask / Masked	mask|masked	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	0	0.51	hist	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	3	1	0.33	nYn	1	0	0.43	hist	no
National Security	national security	1	3	1	0.33	nnY	1	0	0.42	hist	no
Renee / Pretti	pretti|renee	1	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.37	hist	no
Border	border	1	0	0			1	1	0.53	prior	yes
Iran	iran	1	0	0			1	0	0.53	prior	no
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	0	0			1	1	0.53	prior	yes