# Congressional hearings (congressional-hearings) · hearing 2026-03-07 · 15 words · K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26MAR07 · as_of 2026-10-24T20:08:22Z
# scope K company_reps · n/y settled before 2026-03-07 · tn/th blank: no hearing transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26MAR07 ({word} = w of K rows): If any House GOP representative says {word} as part of news conference on DHS funding, partial government shutdown, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Taxpayer	taxpayer	1	3	3	1	YYY	0.73	hist	no
Border	border	1	2	2	1	YY	0.69	hist	yes
Sanctuary	sanctuary	1	2	2	1	YY	0.68	hist	yes
Bipartisan	bipartisan	1	1	1	1	Y	0.62	hist	no
Iran	iran	1	1	1	1	Y	0.62	hist	yes
Noem	noem	1	0	0			0.6	hist	no
Fraud	fraud	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.5	hist	no
National Security	national security	1	1	0	0	n	0.4	hist	yes
Biden	biden	1	6	2	0.33	YnnYnn	0.39	hist	yes
Election	election	1	0	0			0.52	prior	no
Healthcare	healthcare	1	0	0			0.52	prior	no
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	1	0	0			0.52	prior	no
Save Act / Save America Act	save act|save america act	1	0	0			0.52	prior	no
Schumer	schumer	1	0	0			0.52	prior	no
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	0	0			0.52	prior	yes