# James Talarico (james-talarico) · interview 2026-06-20 · 12 words · K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26JUN20 · as_of 2026-10-24T17:20:02Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-06-20 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26JUN20 ({word} = w of K rows): If James Talarico says {word} as part of MS NOW: The Weekend , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Republican	republican	4	4	1	YYYY	0.67	hist	yes
Trump	trump	5	4	0.8	YYYYn	0.56	hist	no
Billionaire	billionaire	4	3	0.75	YnYY	0.54	hist	yes
Jesus / God	god|jesus	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.5	hist	no
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.33	hist	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	4	1	0.25	nnYn	0.3	hist	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	0.3	hist	no
ICE	ice	0	0			0.24	hist	yes
Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement	endorse|endorsed|endorsement	0	0			0.4	prior	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
