# Mark Rutte (mark-rutte) · presser 2026-06-18 · 13 words · K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26JUN18 · as_of 2026-10-24T11:34:59Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-06-18 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26JUN18 ({word} = w of K rows): If Mark Rutte says {word} as part of Secretary General's Press Conference , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Nuclear	nuclear	4	3	0.75	nYYY	0.69	hist	yes
Ukraine	ukraine	2	2	1	YY	0.67	hist	yes
Arctic	arctic	2	2	1	YY	0.63	hist	no
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	1	1	1	Y	0.6	hist	yes
Drone	drone	3	3	1	YYY	0.56	hist	yes
Ally / Alliance	alliance|ally	0	0			0.56	hist	yes
Hormuz	hormuz	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.53	hist	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	0	0			0.51	hist	no
Trump	trump	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.27	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	0.27	hist	no
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation	negotiate|negotiated|negotiation	0	0			0.45	prior	no
World Cup	world cup	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Zelenskyy	zelenskyy	0	0			0.45	prior	yes