# James Fishback (james-fishback) · presser 2026-06-04 · 11 words · K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26JUN04 · as_of 2026-10-24T19:10:00Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-06-04 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26JUN04 ({word} = w of K rows): If James Fishback says {word} as part of Press Conference on "Teen Takeovers" , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
AIPAC	aipac	1	1	1	Y	0.55	hist	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	1	1	Y	0.55	hist	no
Trump	trump	1	1	1	Y	0.55	hist	yes
Fraud	fraud	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	no
Abortion	abortion	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Alien	alien	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Byron / Donalds	byron|donald	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Crime / Criminal	crime|criminal	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Data Center	data center	0	0			0.47	prior	no
DeSantis	desantis	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	0	0			0.47	prior	yes