# Todd Blanche (todd-blanche) · hearing 2026-06-02 · 14 words · K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26JUN02 · as_of 2026-10-25T08:50:00Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-06-02 · tn/th blank: no hearing transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26JUN02 ({word} = w of K rows): If Todd Blanche says {word} as part of House Appropriations Committee Budget Hearing - Oversight Hearing – Department of Justice , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	1	1	1	Y	0.58	hist	yes
Ghislaine / Maxwell	ghislaine|maxwell	1	0	0			0.54	hist	no
Election	election	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.51	hist	yes
Epstein	epstein	1	4	2	0.5	YnnY	0.5	hist	yes
Pam / Bondi	bondi|pam	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.48	hist	no
Biden	biden	1	5	2	0.4	nYnnY	0.47	hist	no
Terrorism / Terrorist	terrorism|terrorist	1	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.38	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	1	0	0	n	0.36	hist	no
National Security	national security	1	1	0	0	n	0.36	hist	no
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	1	1	0	0	n	0.36	hist	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	2	0	0	nn	0.31	hist	no
Fentanyl	fentanyl	1	0	0			0.46	prior	yes
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	1	0	0			0.46	prior	no
UFO / UAP / Extraterrestrial	extraterrestrial|uap|ufo	1	0	0			0.46	prior	no