# Markwayne Mullin (markwayne-mullin) · presser 2026-07-17 · 15 words · K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26JUL17 · as_of 2026-10-24T21:53:12Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-07-17 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26JUL17 ({word} = w of K rows): If Markwayne Mullin says {word} as part of remarks on DHS's efforts to support Election Security , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Biden	biden	1	4	3	0.75	YnYY	0.45	hist	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.4	hist	no
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	1	1	1	1	Y	0.38	hist	no
Border	border	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.35	hist	no
Sanctuary	sanctuary	1	0	0			0.3	hist	no
Deport / Deported / Deportation	deport|deportation|deported	1	1	0	0	n	0.28	hist	yes
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	1	0	0	n	0.25	hist	yes
America First	america first	1	4	0	0	nnnn	0.19	hist	no
National Security	national security	1	4	0	0	nnnn	0.18	hist	yes
California	california	1	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Democracy	democracy	1	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Georgia	georgia	1	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
ICE	ice	1	0	0			0.36	prior	no
ID / Identification	id|identification	1	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Pennsylvania	pennsylvania	1	0	0			0.36	prior	yes