# Mark Rutte (mark-rutte) · presser 2026-07-08 · 12 words · K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26JUL08 · as_of 2026-10-25T08:09:46Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-07-08 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K, res yes · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26JUL08 ({word} = w of K rows): If Mark Rutte says {word} as part of NATO Secretary General press conference at the NATO Summit in Ankara , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src
Nuclear	nuclear	1	6	5	0.83	nYYYYY	0.77	hist
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	1	3	3	1	YYY	0.73	hist
Drone	drone	1	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.71	hist
Ally / Alliance	alliance|ally	1	1	1	1	Y	0.63	hist
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	2	2	1	YY	0.59	hist
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	1	1	1	Y	0.58	hist
Hormuz	hormuz	1	5	3	0.6	YnYYn	0.58	hist
Arctic	arctic	1	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.48	hist
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	2	0	0	nn	0.36	hist
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	6	2	0.33	YnnnnY	0.3	hist
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation	negotiate|negotiated|negotiation	1	2	0	0	nn	0.29	hist
Spain	spain	1	0	0			0.48	prior