# Jack Smith (jack-smith) · interview 2026-07-02 · 12 words · K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26JUL02 · as_of 2026-10-25T11:01:40Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-07-02 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26JUL02 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jack Smith says {word} as part of MS NOW: Deadline White House , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Classified	classified	1	1	1	1	Y	0.56	hist	no
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	1	1	1	Y	0.56	hist	yes
Democracy	democracy	1	1	1	1	Y	0.56	hist	yes
Fraud	fraud	1	1	1	1	Y	0.56	hist	yes
January 6	january 6	1	1	1	1	Y	0.56	hist	yes
Mike Pence	mike pence	1	1	1	1	Y	0.56	hist	no
Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization	weaponization|weaponize|weaponized	1	0	0			0.42	hist	no
Election	election	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Indict / Indicted / Indictment	indict|indicted|indictment	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Reasonable Doubt	reasonable doubt	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Supreme Court	supreme court	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	0	0			0.49	prior	yes