# Hakeem Jeffries (hakeem-jeffries) · presser 2026-02-15 · 11 words · K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26FEB15 · as_of 2026-10-24T19:10:00Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-15 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26FEB15 ({word} = w of K rows): If Hakeem Jeffries says {word} as part of Press Conference on February 13th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Republican	republican	1	1	1	Y	0.57	hist	yes
Trump	trump	1	1	1	Y	0.57	hist	yes
ICE / Border	border|ice	0	0			0.57	hist	yes
Kristi / Noem	kristi|noem	0	0			0.57	hist	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	0	0	n	0.4	hist	yes
Body Cam / Body Camera	body cam|body camera	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Election	election	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Epstein	epstein	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Indict / Indicted / Indictment	indict|indicted|indictment	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Minnesota / Minneapolis	minneapolis|minnesota	0	0			0.48	prior	yes
Unconstitutional / Constitution / Constitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	0	0			0.48	prior	no