# Todd Blanche (todd-blanche) · presser 2026-08-12 · 13 words · K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26AUG12 · as_of 2026-10-24T21:53:12Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-08-12 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26AUG12 ({word} = w of K rows): If Todd Blanche says {word} as part of DOJ Press Conference on August 12, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Fraud	fraud	1	3	3	1	YYY	0.62	hist	yes
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	3	3	1	YYY	0.62	hist	no
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	1	6	4	0.67	YnnYYY	0.55	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	1	6	4	0.67	YnnYYY	0.54	hist	no
Taxpayer	taxpayer	1	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	yes
Democrat	democrat	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.46	hist	no
Biden	biden	1	7	3	0.43	nYnnYnY	0.39	hist	no
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	1	2	0	0	nn	0.28	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	4	0	0	nnnn	0.24	hist	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	4	0	0	nnnn	0.23	hist	no
Fauci	fauci	1	0	0			0.42	prior	no
New York	new york	1	0	0			0.42	prior	yes
Pool / Vandalism	pool|vandalism	1	0	0			0.42	prior	no