# James Fishback (james-fishback) · presser 2026-08-06 · 11 words · K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26AUG06 · as_of 2026-10-27T02:12:16Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-08-06 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26AUG06 ({word} = w of K rows): If James Fishback says {word} as part of Tallahassee Press Conference , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
DeSantis	desantis	2	2	1	YY	0.65	hist	no
Trump	trump	2	2	1	YY	0.64	hist	yes
AIPAC	aipac	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.55	hist	no
Fraud	fraud	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.43	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.39	hist	no
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Debate	debate	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Democrat	democrat	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Republican	republican	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Whistleblower	whistleblower	0	0			0.49	prior	yes