# Todd Blanche (todd-blanche) · presser 2026-04-27 · 17 words · K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26APR27 · as_of 2026-10-24T23:34:25Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-27 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26APR27 ({word} = w of K rows): If Todd Blanche or Kash Patel or Jeanine Pirro says {word} as part of DOJ WH Correspondents Dinner press conference , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
California	california	1	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	yes
Biden	biden	1	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.34	hist	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	0	0			0.32	hist	no
Ballroom	ballroom	1	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Butler	butler	1	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Chicago	chicago	1	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Drone	drone	1	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Hotel	hotel	1	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Manifesto	manifesto	1	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Quantico	quantico	1	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Radical / Radicalized	radical|radicalized	1	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Secret Service	secret service	1	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Shotgun	shotgun	1	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	0	0			0.39	prior	no
TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome	tds|trump derangement syndrome	1	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Train / Amtrak	amtrak|train	1	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	0	0			0.39	prior	yes