# Kash Patel (kash-patel) · presser 2026-04-21 · 13 words · K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26APR21C · as_of 2026-10-27T14:56:10Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-21 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2025-11-12 (under 2 presser transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26APR21C ({word} = w of K rows): If Kash Patel says {word} as part of Press Conference on April 21st , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	0	0.45	hist	no
Election	election	1	2	1	0.5	nY	1	0	0.45	hist	no
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	2	1	0.5	nY	1	1	0.45	hist	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	0	0			1	0	0.45	hist	no
Hormuz	hormuz	1	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.31	hist	no
2020	2020	1	0	0			1	0	0.43	prior	no
Atlantic	atlantic	1	0	0			1	0	0.43	prior	no
Defamation	defamation	1	0	0			1	0	0.43	prior	yes
Democrat	democrat	1	0	0			1	0	0.43	prior	no
Epstein	epstein	1	0	0			1	0	0.43	prior	no
Fraud	fraud	1	0	0			1	0	0.43	prior	yes
Pam / Bondi	bondi|pam	1	0	0			1	1	0.43	prior	no
Taxpayer	taxpayer	1	0	0			1	0	0.43	prior	no