# Sean Duffy (sean-duffy) · keynote 2026-04-17 · 12 words · K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26APR17 · as_of 2026-10-25T08:50:00Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-17 · tn/th blank: no keynote transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26APR17 ({word} = w of K rows): If Sean Duffy says {word} as part of The Next Era of Innovation | Semafor World Economy 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
Afford / Affordability / Affordable	afford|affordability|affordable	0	0		0.44	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	0	0		0.44	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	0	0		0.44	yes
EV / Electric Vehicle	electric vehicle|ev	0	0		0.44	no
Hormuz	hormuz	0	0		0.44	no
ICE / TSA	ice|tsa	0	0		0.44	yes
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	0	0		0.44	no
LaGuardia	laguardia	0	0		0.44	no
Manufacturing	manufacturing	0	0		0.44	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	0	0		0.44	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	0	0		0.44	yes
Trump	trump	0	0		0.44	yes