# Kevin Hassett (kevin-hassett) · keynote 2026-04-14 · 12 words · K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26APR14 · as_of 2026-10-24T18:53:09Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-14 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2025-02-20 (under 2 keynote transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26APR14 ({word} = w of K rows): If Kevin Hassett says {word} as part of The Geoeconomics of AI | Semafor World Economy 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Oil	oil	1	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.5	hist	yes
Afford / Affordability / Affordable	afford|affordability|affordable	1	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.33	hist	yes
China	china	1	1	0	0	n	1	1	0.33	hist	no
Hormuz	hormuz	1	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.33	hist	no
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	1	0	0	n	1	1	0.33	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence 	ai|artificial intelligence	1	0	0			1	0	0.39	prior	yes
Domestic / Manufacturing	domestic|manufacturing	1	0	0			1	1	0.39	prior	no
Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline	1	0	0			1	0	0.39	prior	no
National Security	national security	1	0	0			1	0	0.39	prior	no
Productivity	productivity	1	0	0			1	0	0.39	prior	yes
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	1	0	0			1	0	0.39	prior	no
Tariff	tariff	1	0	0			1	1	0.39	prior	no