# Mark Rutte (mark-rutte) · interview 2026-04-09 · 36 words · K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26APR09 · P p:what-will-rutte-say-during-speech-on-april-9 · as_of 2026-10-25T04:44:57Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-04-09 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26APR09 ({word} = w of K rows): If Mark Rutte says {word} as part of Mark Rutte delivers an address followed by a moderated conversation with the Reagan Institute Policy Director Rachel Hoff , then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-rutte-say-during-speech-on-april-9 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Rutte says the listed term during the speech scheduled for April 9, 2026 at 11AM ET.
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
AI / Artificial intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	P	1	1	1	Y	0.44	hist	no
Drone	drone	1	P	1	1	1	Y	0.44	hist	yes
Lethal / Lethality	lethal|lethality	1	P	0	0			0.42	hist	no
Nuclear	nuclear	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	yes
Alliance	alliance	1	P	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
America	america	1	P	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Arctic	arctic	1	P	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Ceasefire 3+ times	ceasefire#3	3	P	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Conflict	conflict	1	P	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Council	council	1	P	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Cyber	cyber	1	P	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Europe	europe	1	P	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
France	france	1	P	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Freedom	freedom	1	P	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Legality	legality	1	P	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Lock	lock	1	P	0	0			0.43	prior	no
NATO 3+ times	nato#3	3	P	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Oil / Energy	energy|oil	1	P	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Peace / War 3+ times	peace|war#3	3	P	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Putin	putin	1	P	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Shadow	shadow	1	P	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Step Up	step up	1	P	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
The President	the president	1	P	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Threat	threat	1	P	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Trump 2+ times	trump#2	2	P	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	K	0	0			0.42	prior	yes
China	china	1	KP	0	0			0.42	prior	yes
Epic Fury	epic fury	1	K	0	0			0.42	prior	no
Greenland	greenland	1	K	0	0			0.42	prior	yes
Hormuz	hormuz	1	K	0	0			0.42	prior	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	K	0	0			0.42	prior	yes
Marco / Rubio	marco|rubio	1	K	0	0			0.42	prior	yes
Oil	oil	1	K	0	0			0.42	prior	no
Russia	russia	1	K	0	0			0.42	prior	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	K	0	0			0.42	prior	no
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	K	0	0			0.42	prior	yes