# Markwayne Mullin (markwayne-mullin) · presser 2026-04-07 · 14 words · K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26APR07B · as_of 2026-10-24T02:58:15Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-07 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26APR07B ({word} = w of K rows): If Markwayne Mullin says {word} as part of DHS Secretary Markwayne Mullin visits North Carolina, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
China	china	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist	no
Deport / Deportation	deport|deportation	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist	yes
Kristi / Noem	kristi|noem	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist	yes
Fentanyl	fentanyl	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
Fraud	fraud	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
Iran	iran	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
Border	border	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Democrat	democrat	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
FEMA	fema	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
National Security	national security	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Trump	trump	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
TSA	tsa	0	0			0.43	prior	no