# Markwayne Mullin (markwayne-mullin) · interview 2026-09-19 · 13 words · K k:KXPERSONMENTION-26SEP19 · as_of 2026-10-25T02:56:15Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-09-19 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPERSONMENTION-26SEP19 ({word} = w of K rows): If Markwayne Mullin says {word} as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for September 19, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Democrat	democrat	4	4	1	YYYY	0.57	hist	yes
Biden	biden	5	4	0.8	YnYYY	0.53	hist	yes
Trump	trump	1	1	1	Y	0.48	hist	yes
Deport / Deported / Deportation	deport|deportation|deported	2	1	0.5	nY	0.43	hist	no
Election	election	1	1	1	Y	0.41	hist	yes
Fentanyl	fentanyl	4	1	0.25	nnnY	0.33	hist	no
Border	border	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.32	hist	yes
National Security	national security	5	1	0.2	nnnnY	0.31	hist	yes
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	0	0			0.3	hist	no
Sanctuary	sanctuary	1	0	0	n	0.29	hist	no
Crime / Criminal	crime|criminal	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Florida	florida	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	0	0			0.39	prior	yes