# Jared Isaacman (jared-isaacman) · presser 2026-05-26 · 15 words · K k:KXPERSONMENTION-26MAY26 · as_of 2026-10-24T09:55:33Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-26 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-04-05 (under 2 presser transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPERSONMENTION-26MAY26 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jared Isaacman says {word} as part of Moon Base News Conference (May 26, 2026) , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
China / Chinese	china|chinese	2	2	1	YY	1	0	0.65	hist	no
ISS / International Space Station	international space station|iss	2	2	1	YY	1	0	0.65	hist	yes
Mars	mar	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.65	hist	yes
SpaceX	spacex	2	2	1	YY	1	0	0.65	hist	no
Houston	houston	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	0	0.5	hist	yes
Space Force	space force	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	0	0.5	hist	no
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.36	hist	no
Alien	alien	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	no
Apollo	apollo	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	yes
Artemis 3	artemis 3	0	0			1	1	0.51	prior	yes
Blue Origin	blue origin	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	yes
Budget	budget	0	0			1	1	0.51	prior	yes
Crater	crater	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	0	0			1	1	0.51	prior	no
Trump	trump	0	0			1	1	0.51	prior	yes