# Jack Posobiec (jack-posobiec) · speech 2026-03-27 · 10 words · K k:KXPERSONMENTION-26MAR27B · as_of 2026-10-25T06:14:16Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-27 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPERSONMENTION-26MAR27B ({word} = w of K rows): If Jack Posobiec says {word} as part of CPAC: Remembering Charlie, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	p	res
America First	america first	1	0	0		0.44	no
Biden	biden	1	0	0		0.44	no
Border	border	1	0	0		0.44	no
China	china	1	0	0		0.44	no
Debate / Debated	debate|debated	1	0	0		0.44	yes
Erika	erika	1	0	0		0.44	yes
Free Speech / Freedom of Speech	free speech|freedom of speech	1	0	0		0.44	yes
Iran	iran	1	0	0		0.44	no
TikTok / Social Media	social media|tiktok	1	0	0		0.44	yes
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	0	0		0.44	no