# Jared Isaacman (jared-isaacman) · remarks 2026-06-30 · 17 words · K k:KXPERSONMENTION-26JUN30 · as_of 2026-10-24T23:28:39Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-06-30 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-04-05 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPERSONMENTION-26JUN30 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jared Isaacman says {word} as part of NASA Moon Base Update (June 30 2026) , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
ISS / International Space Station	international space station|iss	3	3	1	YYY	1	0	0.69	hist	yes
Mars	mar	3	3	1	YYY	1	1	0.69	hist	yes
Apollo	apollo	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.6	hist	yes
Artemis 3	artemis 3	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.6	hist	yes
Blue Origin	blue origin	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.6	hist	yes
Budget	budget	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.6	hist	no
Crater	crater	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.6	hist	no
Trump	trump	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.6	hist	no
Houston	houston	3	2	0.67	YnY	1	0	0.57	hist	no
China / Chinese	china|chinese	3	2	0.67	YYn	1	0	0.56	hist	no
SpaceX	spacex	3	2	0.67	YYn	1	0	0.56	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	0	0.51	hist	no
Space Force	space force	3	1	0.33	Ynn	1	0	0.44	hist	yes
Alien	alien	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.43	hist	no
Nuclear	nuclear	1	0	0	n	1	1	0.43	hist	yes
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	3	0	0	nnn	1	0	0.33	hist	no
Data Center	data center	0	0			1	0	0.52	prior	no