# NASA (nasa) · presser 2026-01-31 · 12 words · K k:KXPERSONMENTION-26JAN31 · as_of 2026-10-25T01:08:07Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-31 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPERSONMENTION-26JAN31 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jessica Meir or Jack Hathaway or Sophie Adenot or Andrey Fedyaev says {word} as part of press conference ahead of space station launch, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
Dragon	dragon	0	0		0.33	no
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	0	0		0.33	no
Epsilon	epsilon	0	0		0.33	no
Grace	grace	0	0		0.33	yes
Gravity	gravity	0	0		0.33	yes
Houston	houston	0	0		0.33	yes
Mars / Moon	mar|moon	0	0		0.33	yes
Oleg / Artemyev	artemyev|oleg	0	0		0.33	no
Preparation / Prepared	preparation|prepared	0	0		0.33	yes
Quarantine	quarantine	0	0		0.33	yes
Safe / Safety	safe|safety	0	0		0.33	yes
SpaceX	spacex	0	0		0.33	no