# NASA (nasa) · presser 2026-08-14 · 21 words · K k:KXPERSONMENTION-26AUG14 · P p:what-will-be-said-during-the-nasa-news-conference-20260812230553165 · as_of 2026-10-24T03:36:44Z
# scope K named; P anyone · n/y settled before 2026-08-14 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1 · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPERSONMENTION-26AUG14 ({word} = w of K rows): If any NASA representative says {word} as part of NASA news conference originally scheduled for August 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-be-said-during-the-nasa-news-conference-20260812230553165 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event.
w	key	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Apollo	apollo	KP	10	9	0.9	YYnYYYYYYY	0.86	hist	yes
Moon Base	moon base	K	2	2	1	YY	0.73	hist	yes
Florida	florida	K	6	4	0.67	nnYYYY	0.67	hist	yes
Mars	mar	KP	4	2	0.5	nYnY	0.38	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	P	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	0.34	hist	yes
Radiation	radiation	K	6	2	0.33	nYnYnn	0.31	hist	no
SpaceX	spacex	KP	15	4	0.27	nnnnnnnYnY	0.26	hist	yes
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	P	13	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.24	hist	no
Trump / President	president|trump	K	4	1	0.25	nnnY	0.16	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	KP	0	0			0.42	prior	no
Air Force	air force	K	0	0			0.42	prior	yes
Artemis	artemis	KP	0	0			0.42	prior	yes
Astronaut	astronaut	P	0	0			0.42	prior	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	KP	0	0			0.42	prior	no
Cosmonaut	cosmonaut	P	0	0			0.42	prior	no
Drones	drone	P	0	0			0.42	prior	no
ISS / International Space Station	international space station|iss	K	0	0			0.42	prior	yes
Robot / Robotic	robot|robotic	P	0	0			0.42	prior	yes
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	P	0	0			0.42	prior	no
Space Force	space force	KP	0	0			0.42	prior	yes
Space Shuttle	space shuttle	P	0	0			0.42	prior	yes