# OpenAI (openai) · podcast_episode 2026-04-21 · 13 words · K k:KXPERSONMENTION-26APR21B · as_of 2026-10-24T14:22:31Z
# scope K company_reps · n/y settled before 2026-04-21 · tn/th blank: no podcast episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPERSONMENTION-26APR21B ({word} = w of K rows): If any OpenAI representative says {word} as part of OpenAI livestream on April 21st , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	1	0	0	n	0.33	hist	no
Agent / Agentic	agent|agentic	0	0			0.38	prior	no
AGI	agi	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Claude / Anthropic	anthropic|claude	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Code / Coding	code|coding	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
Codex	codex	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
DALL-E	dall e	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	0	0			0.38	prior	no
IPO / Public	ipo|public	0	0			0.38	prior	no
LLM	llm	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Safe / Safer / Safety	safe|safer|safety	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Sora	sora	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Spud	spud	0	0			0.38	prior	no