# NASA (nasa) · presser 2026-04-16 · 16 words · K k:KXPERSONMENTION-26APR16C · as_of 2026-10-24T03:29:53Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-16 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPERSONMENTION-26APR16C ({word} = w of K rows): If any Artemis II Astronaut says {word} as part of NASA's Artemis II News Conference with Moon Astronauts (April 16, 2026) , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Houston	houston	13	13	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.93	hist	yes
Splashdown	splashdown	3	3	1	YYY	0.87	hist	no
Moon Base	moon base	0	0			0.59	hist	yes
San Diego	san diego	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.54	hist	no
Weather	weather	12	6	0.5	nYYnYnYYYn	0.54	hist	no
Mars	mar	2	1	0.5	nY	0.51	hist	no
Crater	crater	4	2	0.5	YnnY	0.49	hist	no
Gravity	gravity	8	5	0.62	YYnYYYnn	0.47	hist	no
Eclipse	eclipse	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.42	hist	no
Toilet 	toilet	4	2	0.5	YYnn	0.39	hist	yes
Oxygen	oxygen	7	2	0.29	nnYnnYn	0.33	hist	no
SpaceX	spacex	13	3	0.23	YnnnnnnnnY	0.29	hist	no
Trump / President	president|trump	2	0	0	nn	0.13	hist	no
Alien	alien	4	0	0	nnnn	0.08	hist	no
Food	food	7	0	0	nnnnnnn	0.06	hist	no
Carroll	carroll	0	0			0.44	prior	no