# NASA (nasa) · presser 2026-04-08 · 19 words · K k:KXPERSONMENTION-26APR08 · as_of 2026-10-25T03:25:40Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-08 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPERSONMENTION-26APR08 ({word} = w of K rows): If any NASA Participant says {word} as part of Daily news conference on Artemis II (April 8, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Houston	houston	1	10	10	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.93	hist	yes
Toilet (3+ times)	toilet#3	3	2	2	1	YY	0.84	hist	no
Apollo	apollo	1	7	6	0.86	YYnYYYY	0.82	hist	yes
Crater	crater	1	1	1	1	Y	0.76	hist	no
Gravity	gravity	1	5	4	0.8	YYnYY	0.73	hist	yes
Weather	weather	1	9	4	0.44	nnnYYnYnY	0.53	hist	yes
Exercise / Exercising	exercise|exercising	1	0	0			0.5	hist	no
Nuclear	nuclear	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.44	hist	no
Radiation	radiation	1	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.36	hist	yes
Damage	damage	1	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.31	hist	yes
Oxygen	oxygen	1	4	1	0.25	nnYn	0.31	hist	no
Troubleshoot / Troubleshooting	troubleshoot|troubleshooting	1	9	2	0.22	nYnnnnYnn	0.24	hist	no
Alien	alien	1	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	no
SpaceX	spacex	1	10	2	0.2	nYnYnnnnnn	0.14	hist	no
Food	food	1	4	0	0	nnnn	0.09	hist	no
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	1	10	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.06	hist	no
Eclipse	eclipse	1	0	0			0.47	prior	no
San Diego	san diego	1	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Splashdown	splashdown	1	0	0			0.47	prior	yes