# NASA (nasa) · presser 2026-04-04 · 16 words · K k:KXPERSONMENTION-26APR04B · as_of 2026-10-24T07:58:31Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-04 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPERSONMENTION-26APR04B ({word} = w of K rows): If any NASA Participant says {word} as part of ARTEMIS II Daily Press Conference originally scheduled for April 4th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Houston	houston	7	7	1	YYYYYYY	0.92	hist	yes
Gravity	gravity	2	2	1	YY	0.83	hist	no
Toilet	toilet	1	1	1	Y	0.76	hist	yes
Apollo	apollo	4	3	0.75	YYnY	0.66	hist	yes
Weather	weather	6	2	0.33	nnnYYn	0.41	hist	yes
SpaceX	spacex	7	2	0.29	nYnYnnn	0.25	hist	no
Food	food	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	no
Microsoft	microsoft	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	no
Oxygen	oxygen	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	no
Troubleshoot / Troubleshooting	troubleshoot|troubleshooting	6	1	0.17	nYnnnn	0.17	hist	yes
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	7	0	0	nnnnnnn	0.07	hist	no
Damage	damage	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Exercise	exercise	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Humidity	humidity	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Leak	leak	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Radiation	radiation	0	0			0.47	prior	no