# Jack Posobiec (jack-posobiec) · remarks 2026-04-02 · 11 words · K k:KXPERSONMENTION-26APR02 · as_of 2026-10-25T11:02:40Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-02 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPERSONMENTION-26APR02 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jack Posobiec says {word} as part of Turning Point Tour at George Washington University, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Debate / Debated	debate|debated	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	yes
Free Speech / Freedom of Speech	free speech|freedom of speech	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	yes
TikTok / Social Media	social media|tiktok	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	no
America First	america first	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	no
Biden	biden	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	no
Iran	iran	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	no
Democrat	democrat	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Jesus	jesus	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Muslim / Islam / Islamic	islam|islamic|muslim	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Trump	trump	0	0			0.43	prior	no