# Oscars (oscars) · awards 2025-03-02 · 16 words · K k:KXOSCARMENTION-25 · as_of 2026-10-24T13:20:00Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2025-03-02 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXOSCARMENTION-25 ({word} = w of K rows): If the host of the Oscars says {word}, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
Adrien / Brody	adrien|brody	0	0		0.49	no
Bob Dylan / Dylan	bob dylan|dylan	0	0		0.49	yes
Botox	botox	0	0		0.49	no
Disney	disney	0	0		0.49	no
Drake	drake	0	0		0.49	yes
Epstein	epstein	0	0		0.49	no
Fire	fire	0	0		0.49	yes
Gene/Hackman	gene|hackman	0	0		0.49	no
Holding space	holding space	0	0		0.49	no
Karla Sofía Gascón	karla sofia gascon	0	0		0.49	yes
Kendrick / Lamar	kendrick|lamar	0	0		0.49	yes
Kidman	kidman	0	0		0.49	no
LA / Los Angeles	la|los angele	0	0		0.49	yes
Stream / Streaming	stream|streaming	0	0		0.49	yes
Timothee / Chalamet	chalamet|timothee	0	0		0.49	yes
Trump	trump	0	0		0.49	no